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2026/27Forecast
The remaining season, simulated from the current standings. Each cell shows the chance of finishing in that position.
| Teams | Now | Likely | Exp. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|
| 1 | 1st | 3.73 | 34.4 | 17.1 | 11.6 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | ||||||||
| 2 | 2nd | 7.04 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 9.6 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | ||
| 4 | 2nd | 7.36 | 8.9 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | 2nd | 7.57 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ||
| 6 | 4th | 8.45 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | |
| 5 | 3rd | 8.51 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | |
| 7 | 4th | 9.13 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | |
| 8 | 6th | 9.42 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | |
| 10 | 9th | 10.34 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.0 | |
| 9 | 12th | 10.84 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 | |
| 11 | 13th | 10.86 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 4.4 | |
| 12 | 17th | 11.65 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.1 | |
| 14 | 19th | 12.26 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.6 | |
| 13 | 18th | 12.38 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 6.7 | |
| 15 | 19th | 12.57 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.3 | |
| 16 | 20th | 12.92 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8.3 | ||
| 17 | 20th | 13.06 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 8.8 | ||
| 18 | 20th | 13.23 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 9.3 | ||
| 20 | 20th | 14.03 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 9.1 | 10.4 | 12.5 | ||
| 19 | 20th | 14.63 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 11.6 | 15.3 |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
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Now is the current position. Likely is the most frequent simulated finish. Exp. is the average position: the sum of each position multiplied by its probability. Each team's probabilities and each position's total sum to 100% before rounding.
Results already played remain fixed. The model simulates remaining matches using team attack, defence and home advantage, including uncertainty in team strength. These are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
A confirmed tie-break rule is unavailable. Teams tied on points share the probability across their tied positions.
