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2026Forecast
The remaining season, simulated from the current standings. Each cell shows the chance of finishing in that position.
| Teams | Now | Likely | Exp. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st | 1.51 |
| 55.7 |
| 37.7 |
| 6.5 |
| 2 | 2nd | 1.71 | 40.7 | 47.6 | 11.4 |
| 3 | 3rd | 2.91 | 3.6 | 14.5 | 71.9 | 8.0 | 1.6 |
| 6 | 4th | 5.30 | 4.3 | 35.1 | 24.1 | 16.0 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 4 | 5th | 5.67 | 3.5 | 24.7 | 25.0 | 19.3 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| 5 | 5th | 6.34 | 1.5 | 16.5 | 19.9 | 19.7 | 16.9 | 11.7 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| 7 | 6th | 6.88 | 10.4 | 15.9 | 19.0 | 18.6 | 14.8 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 9 | 8th | 8.47 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 10.3 | 14.6 | 18.1 | 16.8 | 13.5 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 |
| 8 | 9th | 9.10 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 10.9 | 15.0 | 17.6 | 16.5 | 13.9 | 9.2 | 3.7 |
| 10 | 11th | 10.07 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 18.3 | 18.7 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 2.6 |
| 11 | 11th | 10.08 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 10.0 | 14.4 | 18.6 | 19.3 | 14.8 | 7.6 | 2.8 |
| 12 | 12th | 11.06 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 9.5 | 13.8 | 18.6 | 23.7 | 14.6 | 6.6 | 1.8 |
| 13 | 13th | 13.07 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 14.1 | 27.6 | 26.5 | 17.3 |
| 14 | 15th | 13.77 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 8.9 | 20.9 | 30.4 | 34.4 |
| 15 | 15th | 14.05 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 15.6 | 29.6 | 45.2 |
| 16 | 16th | 16.00 | 100.0 |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
|---|
Now is the current position. Likely is the most frequent simulated finish. Exp. is the average position: the sum of each position multiplied by its probability. Each team's probabilities and each position's total sum to 100% before rounding.
Results already played remain fixed. The model simulates remaining matches using team attack, defence and home advantage, including uncertainty in team strength. These are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
A confirmed tie-break rule is unavailable. Teams tied on points share the probability across their tied positions.
